Everything suggests we could see an open match with goals on both sides in this Marseille vs Ajax clash. Still, we lean towards a home win, and that comes down to two key factors.

The first is the atmosphere at the Velodrome, where the passionate Marseille fans can lift their team to another level. The second is their defensive structure under De Zerbi, Marseille have shown discipline at the back, even managing a clean sheet against PSG.

Ajax, on the other hand, continue to look shaky. They have conceded goals against almost every opponent, including lower-ranked domestic sides like NAC Breda and Volendam. Offensively, they also looked flat in their last outing, lacking ideas and cutting edge in the final third.